Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000781 0.000837 0.000895 0.000961 0.001033 0.001111 0.001202
2026-01-04 0.000679 0.000751 0.000831 0.000925 0.001036 0.001160 0.001314
2026-01-11 0.000621 0.000703 0.000797 0.000913 0.001053 0.001218 0.001431
2026-01-18 0.000581 0.000671 0.000775 0.000908 0.001074 0.001277 0.001550
2026-01-25 0.000625 0.000739 0.000876 0.001056 0.001292 0.001596 0.002027
2026-02-01 0.000578 0.000691 0.000831 0.001018 0.001268 0.001599 0.002085
2026-02-08 0.000541 0.000655 0.000797 0.000990 0.001255 0.001614 0.002157
2026-02-15 0.000516 0.000630 0.000776 0.000978 0.001260 0.001653 0.002266
2026-02-22 0.000488 0.000602 0.000748 0.000954 0.001247 0.001664 0.002331
2026-03-01 0.000459 0.000570 0.000714 0.000920 0.001216 0.001646 0.002350
2026-03-08 0.000440 0.000551 0.000697 0.000908 0.001217 0.001674 0.002444
2026-03-15 0.000421 0.000531 0.000677 0.000890 0.001207 0.001685 0.002508
2026-03-22 0.000390 0.000495 0.000635 0.000843 0.001157 0.001637 0.002483
2026-03-29 0.000367 0.000469 0.000606 0.000813 0.001131 0.001626 0.002525
2026-04-05 0.000351 0.000453 0.000591 0.000803 0.001133 0.001661 0.002649
2026-04-12 0.000339 0.000441 0.000581 0.000799 0.001145 0.001712 0.002809
2026-04-19 0.000365 0.000484 0.000652 0.000923 0.001373 0.002157 0.003808
2026-04-26 0.000346 0.000461 0.000625 0.000891 0.001339 0.002133 0.003845
2026-05-03 0.000331 0.000442 0.000604 0.000868 0.001319 0.002131 0.003930
2026-05-10 0.000320 0.000430 0.000591 0.000857 0.001320 0.002170 0.004113
2026-05-17 0.000307 0.000414 0.000573 0.000837 0.001302 0.002170 0.004205
2026-05-24 0.000292 0.000396 0.000550 0.000808 0.001267 0.002133 0.004203
2026-05-31 0.000283 0.000386 0.000539 0.000799 0.001265 0.002164 0.004373